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The cause-effect illusion-confusion

In my experience, the difficulties arise when things go well or go badly because there’s a tendency to isolate the most tangible measureable outputs and link them to the most tangible measureable inputs even if the links are tenuous or tangential.

In this article for Teacherhead, Tom Sherrington discusses the danger of linking inputs to outputs on the basis of tangibility, rather than solid cause and effect.

The Centre for Youth Impact Gathering 2016

"However, of course we don’t actually have a precise understanding of the inputs to outputs process so we have to make educated guesses."

About the author

Tom Sherrington is a consultant, speaker, blogger and teacher.

How could this help/improve services for young people?

The danger inherent in suggesting links between input and output on the basis of the solidity of the output, rather than that of the link between the two, is that it creates a false sense of what needs to be done in order to improve outcomes for young people.

Further reading

Impact claim: how can you be sure you cause the change? by Marlon van Dijk